Real time valuations

Cap HPI -

Data cannot wait: the benefits of real-time valuations Used car values no longer move month by month, they move day by day. Yet many dealers still rely on static pricing in a market shaped by supply disruption, changing powertrain demand and economic uncertainty. The result is clear: outdated valuations increase the risk of lost margin, slower stock turn and operational inefficiency. This is the core business challenge dealers face today. Vehicles can be underpriced as values rise, or sit on the forecourt too long as demand shifts. In a fast-moving used car market, pricing decisions based on old data create unnecessary risk. Real-time vehicle valuations allow dealers to respond immediately, helping protect margin and support faster, more confident buying and pricing decisions. cap hpi supports the motor industry with trusted used car valuations and has continued to evolve its services to reflect how quickly the market now moves. Dealers can now access instant vehicle valuations anywhere, ensuring decisions are always based on live market insight. A complex market that moves fast Vehicles may leave the factory with identical specifications, but mileage, condition, servicing history, optional extras and even over-the-air updates can significantly affect value by the time they return to the used market. This complexity is increased by a wider mix of models, brands and powertrains, from petrol and diesel to hybrid and electric, making residual value forecasting more challenging and increasing the risk of relying on valuations that are already out of date. Demand and supply shocks can quickly change values Used car values are heavily influenced by demand. Despite falling new-car registrations, diesel remains popular with some buyers. Market shocks can accelerate change: during 2021 and 2022, the global semiconductor shortage restricted new-car supply, pushing buyers into the used market and driving prices up. While conditions have stabilised, risks remain. A political standoff between China and the Netherlands towards the end of 2025 highlighted how fragile semiconductor supply chains still are. Electric vehicle values are also changing frequently, influenced by technology development, regulation, discounting and potential oversupply. In this environment, a valuation set at the start of the month can be out of date within days. Protecting margin and efficiency with real-time data For dealers, static pricing directly impacts dealer margins. If demand increases — for example, following restrictions on new diesel sales — values can rise quickly. Dealers relying on outdated data risk missing increases of 10% or more. Regular real-time valuation checks help keep vehicle pricing accurate throughout the month, reduce wasted time updating printed guides and support faster buying decisions. Fleet operators also benefit by optimising de-fleeting based on current market conditions. Turning real-time data into commercial advantage Real-time data delivers measurable value. cap hpi analysis shows savings of £1,645 per year for small independent dealers selling around 30 vehicles per month, and £4,568 annually for multi-site businesses with two locations selling 40 vehicles each. Valuation Anywhere is now available to buy online, giving dealers instant access to vehicle valuations wherever they are. In a market where data cannot wait, real-time valuations help dealers respond faster to change, protect margin and improve efficiency.

Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview – Used Commercials January 2026

This is the cap guide to future residual values for used light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds for periods from twelve months to four years. Vehicle Condition Parameters All prices in Used LCV Future Residual Values relate to disposal values for models in cap Average Condition – complying with most of the following requirements: • In a reasonable condition given its age and mileage. • Requires some work other than routine cleaning and servicing to bring it up to retail standard. • Mechanically sound. • Current MOT test certificate or needing only routine wear and tear item replacements in order to obtain one. • May require some repainting but not major body repair. • Vans and pick-ups to be fitted with a full substantial lining from new. • Interior dirty and untidy, but not damaged. • Capable of being brought up to ‘Clean Condition’ with minimal work. • Including all relevant documentation, especially V5. Vehicle Excise Duty (Road Tax) The cost of vehicle road tax for light goods vehicles and the differences in taxation between light goods vehicles classed as cars are beyond the scope of this document. You can access detailed information from the DVLA by pasting the following link into your browser. https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/driver-and-vehicle- licensing-agency CLICK HERE to read the full article.

Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview – New Commercials January 2026

This is the cap guide to future residual values for light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds and percentage of list price for periods of twelve to sixty months with mileage calculations up to 200,000. Vehicle Condition Parameters All prices in LCV Future Residual Values relate to disposal values for models in cap Average Condition – complying with most of the following requirements: • In a reasonable condition given its age and mileage. • Requires some work other than routine cleaning and servicing to bring it up to retail standard. • Mechanically sound. • Current MOT test certificate or needs only routine wear and tear item replacements to obtain one. • May require some repainting but not major body repair. • Vans and pick-ups to be fitted with a full substantial lining from new. • Interior dirty and untidy, but not damaged. • Capable of being brought up to ‘Clean Condition’ with minimal work. • Including all relevant documentation, especially V5. CLICK HERE to read the full article.

Future Car Market Overview Used Cars January 2026

Welcome to the latest version of our overview. Our aim is to bring you the best content and layout, making it easy to identify new and revised information. As always, any customer feedback would be appreciated: e-mail [email protected] Please direct any forecast queries to the following mailbox: e-mail: [email protected] The content is structured as follows: 1. Forecast Changes 2. Market Conditions 3. Historic Forecast Accuracy 4. Forecast Methodology & Products 5. Sector Reforecast Schedule 2026 CLICK HERE to read the full article.

Future Car Market Overview – SMR January 2026

Welcome to our latest overview of Service Maintenance and Repair (SMR) Budgets, previously known as the ‘gold book SMR editorial’. This is aimed at our Fleet sector customers, who may use the Budgets when setting their lease rates. Any customer suggestions for improvement would be appreciated: please e-mail [email protected] Following our acquisition of Derwent Management Services in 2014, cap-hpi Ludlow (Derwent) data has been used to populate our SMR budget forecast product since October 2014, but there have been no technical changes to any of our data files or services. As we expected, the new data represented a considerable improvement in terms of vehicle coverage compared to our previous external supplier, with more than 4,200 additional cars and LCVs being valued at implementation. Overall, Car coverage is 97.9% with many of the vehicles valued in gold book for the first time also included in the SMR data. The new budgets are based on our market leading Burn Rate data and incorporate the latest probability distributions for all elements, based on real world costs. In our opinion, it reflects a much more realistic representation of the likely future SMR expenditure than we were able to display in the past. For any further detailed questions, please e-mail [email protected] and we will respond as a matter of urgency. New ranges Vehicles from the following ranges have been included in SMR product for the first time in this month’s publication of CLICK HERE to read the full article.

Future Car Market Overview – New Cars January 2026

Welcome to the latest version of our overview. Our aim is to bring you the best content and layout, making it easy to identify new and revised information. As always, any customer feedback would be appreciated: e-mail [email protected] Please direct any forecast queries to the following mailbox: e-mail: [email protected] The content is structured as follows: 1. Forecast Changes 2. Market Conditions 3. Historic Forecast Accuracy 4. Forecast Methodology & Products 5. Sector Reforecast Schedule 2026/27 CLICK HERE to read the full article.

Commercial Overview January 2026

According to the latest report from the SMMT. there were 22,896 new LCVs registered in October which is down by 24,522 (15.1%) month on month. Compared to October 2024, there were 3,446 fewer registrations than in October 2025. Year to date, new LCV registrations were down by 30,153 (10.3%) compared to the same period in 2024. CLICK HERE to read the full article.

Car Market Overview January 2026

This car market overview provides an up-to-date snapshot of the UK automotive market, highlighting the latest trends in both new car registrations and used vehicle performance. New car data reflects sales through the end of November 2025, offering the most current view of market activity. Insights on used cars capture conditions as of publication. All figures are accurate as of December 19th, 2025. New car sales The UK new car market dipped in November, with registrations down 1.6% to 151,154 units compared to the same month last year, and 3.49% lower than pre-pandemic levels in 2019, according to the latest figures from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT). CLICK HERE to read the full article.

Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview – Used Commercials December 2025

This is the cap guide to future residual values for used light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds for periods from twelve months to four years. Vehicle Condition Parameters All prices in Used LCV Future Residual Values relate to disposal values for models in cap Average Condition – complying with most of the following requirements: • In a reasonable condition given its age and mileage. • Requires some work other than routine cleaning and servicing to bring it up to retail standard. • Mechanically sound. • Current MOT test certificate or needing only routine wear and tear item replacements in order to obtain one. • May require some repainting but not major body repair. • Vans and pick-ups to be fitted with a full substantial lining from new. • Interior dirty and untidy, but not damaged. • Capable of being brought up to ‘Clean Condition’ with minimal work. • Including all relevant documentation, especially V5. CLICK HERE to read the full article.

Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview – New Commercials December 2025

This is the cap guide to future residual values for light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds and percentage of list price for periods of twelve to sixty months with mileage calculations up to 200,000. Vehicle Condition Parameters All prices in LCV Future Residual Values relate to disposal values for models in cap Average Condition – complying with most of the following requirements: • In a reasonable condition given its age and mileage. • Requires some work other than routine cleaning and servicing to bring it up to retail standard. • Mechanically sound. • Current MOT test certificate or needs only routine wear and tear item replacements to obtain one. • May require some repainting but not major body repair. • Vans and pick-ups to be fitted with a full substantial lining from new. • Interior dirty and untidy, but not damaged. • Capable of being brought up to ‘Clean Condition’ with minimal work. • Including all relevant documentation, especially V5. CLICK HERE to read the full article.