Commercial Overview – March 2025

For what it’s worth January New LCV Registrations According to the latest SMMT report, there were 19,050 new LCVs registered in January. That’s -30% (8,171) fewer than were registered in December. We have come to expect January registrations to be significantly lower than December. The only exception was January 2023 when there was a marginal increase of 1.3% (+273). CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview – Used Commercials March 2025

This is the cap guide to future residual values for used light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds for periods from twelve months to four years. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview – New Commercials March 2025

This is the cap guide to future residual values for light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds and percentage of list price for periods of twelve to sixty months with mileage calculations up to 200,000. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Car Market Overview – March 2025

This monthly overview offers an update on the current new and used car markets in the UK. We will be reporting on new car registrations up to the end of January 2025, as well as used car activity as of the time of writing. Please note that all information is accurate as of February 24th, 2025. According to data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), 139,345 cars were registered in January 2025, reflecting a decrease of 2.5% or 3,531 units compared to the same month in 2024. Many manufacturers had hoped to start the year with strong sales; however, challenges faced by both fleet and private buyers, coupled with weak economic confidence, have hindered this goal. Additionally, January marked the fourth consecutive month of decline, an unwelcome trend and one that has been significantly influenced by the introduction of the Vehicle Emissions Trading Scheme (VETS). CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Car Market Overview – SMR March 2025

Welcome to our latest overview of Service Maintenance and Repair (SMR) Budgets, previously known as the ‘gold book SMR editorial’. This is aimed at our Fleet sector customers, who may use the Budgets when setting their lease rates. Any customer suggestions for improvement would be appreciated: please e-mail [email protected] Following our acquisition of Derwent Management Services in 2014, cap-hpi Ludlow (Derwent) data has been used to populate our SMR budget forecast product since October 2014, but there have been no technical changes to any of our data files or services. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Car Market Overview – Used Cars March 2025

Welcome to the latest version of our overview. Our aim is to bring you the best content and layout, making it easy to identify new and revised information. As always, any customer feedback would be appreciated: e-mail [email protected] The content is structured as follows: 1. Forecast Changes2. Market Conditions3. Historic Forecast Accuracy4. Forecast Methodology & Products5. Sector Reforecast Schedule 2025/26 CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Car Market Overview – New Cars March 2025

Welcome to the latest version of our overview. Our aim is to bring you the best content and layout, making it easy to identify new and revised information. As always, any customer feedback would be appreciated: e-mail [email protected] The content is structured as follows: 1. Forecast Changes2. Market Conditions3. Historic Forecast Accuracy4. Forecast Methodology & Products5. Sector Reforecast Schedule 2025/26 CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Combatting Fraud: The Recovery of Stolen Finance Vehicles

The recovery of stolen finance vehicles is crucial in safeguarding both buyers and the integrity of the vehicle market. The National Vehicle Crime Intelligence Service (NaVCIS) plays a leading role in this endeavour, working closely with cap hpi to track and recover stolen vehicles still under finance. Together, they leverage advanced technology and precise data to combat vehicle fraud and protect businesses and consumers alike. NaVCIS and cap hpi: Partners in Recovering Stolen Finance Vehicles NaVCIS, a UK-based police unit specialising in vehicle crime, focuses on recovering stolen finance vehicles that have been trafficked across borders, particularly to Eastern Europe. Countries such as Bulgaria and Romania are common destinations where criminals often re-register stolen UK vehicles. The Finance and Leasing Association (FLA) provides financial support for NaVCIS’ work in tackling vehicle crime. Criminals often acquire vehicles through fraudulent finance agreements, using fake identities or stolen credentials. Once in possession of the vehicles, they alter the number plates and transport them abroad. Upon arrival at their destination, the vehicles are re-registered, usually with the intent to sell them. NaVCIS and cap hpi collaborate to provide the necessary tools and data to swiftly identify and recover these stolen vehicles before they can enter the market. The Role of cap hpi in Recovering Stolen Finance Vehicles cap hpi plays a pivotal role in the recovery process by supplying real-time, comprehensive vehicle data. Their extensive database of vehicle information, which includes details on outstanding finance and theft status, supports law enforcement agencies across Europe in quickly identifying stolen vehicles. This data empowers local authorities to take prompt action, ensuring that stolen vehicles are recovered and returned to their rightful owners. Sharon Naughton, Head of NaVCIS, highlighted the importance of cap hpi’s contribution: “cap hpi helps us identify stolen finance vehicles efficiently. Their data enables us to act quickly, ensuring that stolen vehicles are returned to the finance companies.” cap hpi’s Data: A Key Asset in the Recovery of Stolen Finance Vehicles Across Europe The collaboration between NaVCIS and cap hpi has led to significant success in recovering stolen finance vehicles. cap hpi’s data has contributed to the recovery of nearly 80% of stolen finance vehicles flagged during checks. In Bulgaria, cap hpi identified 14 stolen vehicles, resulting in the recovery of seven, with additional vehicles discovered in Romania during the re-registration process. This partnership ensures that stolen vehicles are returned to UK finance companies, preventing criminals from profiting from these illicit transactions. cap hpi’s real-time data not only aids in vehicle recovery but also plays a vital role in protecting the integrity of the used car market. Protect Your Business: Always Run a cap hpi Check Before purchasing or selling a used vehicle, it is essential to conduct an cap hpi check. This vital step confirms that the vehicle is free of hidden issues, such as outstanding finance or a stolen status, providing peace of mind to both dealers and consumers.
Commercial Overview – February 2025

For what it’s worth December New LCV Registrations According to the latest figures from the SMMT, 27,221 new LCVs were registered in December taking the end of year total to 351,834. Year on year the new LCV market grew by just over 3% (10,379). CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview – Used Commercials February 2025

This is the cap guide to future residual values for used light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds for periods from twelve months to four years. CLICK HERE to read the full article.