Future Car Market Overview Used Car August 2026

This is the cap guide to future residual values for used light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds for periods from twelve months to four years. Vehicle Condition Parameters All prices in Used LCV Future Residual Values relate to disposal values for models in cap Average Condition – complying with most of the following requirements: • In a reasonable condition given its age and mileage. • Requires some work other than routine cleaning and servicing to bring it up to retail standard. • Mechanically sound. • Current MOT test certificate or needing only routine wear and tear item replacements in order to obtain one. • May require some repainting but not major body repair. • Vans and pick-ups to be fitted with a full substantial lining from new. • Interior dirty and untidy, but not damaged. • Capable of being brought up to ‘Clean Condition’ with minimal work. • Including all relevant documentation, especially V5. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview New Coms August 2026

This is the cap guide to future residual values for light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds and percentage of list price for periods of twelve to sixty months with mileage calculations up to 200,000. Monthly Wrap-Up August has proven itself as another busy month, with several new additions to the product, as well as a busy month for reforecasting. Despite declining registration numbers in the sector, new additions into the product for pick-ups continue. With more 2-seat variants to combat the taxation limitations of double cab pick-ups having been added to the product this month, as well as new trim levels for others, it’s clear that OEMs are not giving up on the sector. Most notably however is the introduction of the BYD Shark 6 pick-up. It’s been heavily speculated online about its arrival into the UK, even with videos on popular social media platforms on the topic, but with it now confirmed and officially launched, the plug-in hybrid Shark 6 has certainly made some waves within the industry. With two OEMs now offering PHEV powertrains in their pick-ups, the question is if any more will follow suit. The last time the electric sector was reforecast, an overall positive trend was seen, with very few negative movements. What we’ve seen this month is much of the same nature, but also some stability too. In a sector that has been turbulent to say the least, the stability will certainly be welcomed by many. Despite the recent dip in fuel prices, the worry of more price hikes still looms, and with electric LCVs becoming more readily available, more capable and overall more attractive, the turning point towards electrified commercial mobility seems to be in full swing. New additions for Land Rover, both in Defender and Discovery, have seen updated specifications and external updates, but as a result has also forced a reforecast. Land Rover has unfortunately suffered lately and has seen some consistent negative movements month on month, and this month has continued in the same vein too. A few other sectors have seen some forced reforecasts due to performance, including some small and medium vans, VAT Qualifying ranges and minibuses. Whilst every effort is made to ensure reforecasting sticks to the published schedule, there are factors that would trigger a reforecast outside of this schedule. Overall, August has brought with it a lot of positivity, optimism and excitement due to the new additions and outlook again of the electric sector. Now being the second reforecast in a row for electrics that has seen a positive trend, it could well be a trend that is seen more often as the sector grows and adapts. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Commercial Overview August 2026

The latest SMMT LCV registration figures for June show a modest year on year increase of 2,598 units during the first half of 2026 compared with the same period in 2025. However, growth accelerated in Q2, with an additional 5,637 LCVs registered compared with Q2 2025. While this suggests that the new LCV market is strengthening as the year progresses, the same cannot be said for all sectors. Most notably, double-cab pick-up registrations continue to be heavily impacted by the BIK rule changes, falling by almost 57% (-1,587 units) in June.This decline was more than offset by strong growth in the panel van sectors. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview Used Coms August 2026

Welcome to the latest version of our overview. Our aim is to bring you the best content and layout, making it easy to identify new and revised information. As always, any customer feedback would be appreciated: e-mail [email protected] The content is structured as follows: 1. Forecast Changes 2. Market Conditions 3. Historic Forecast Accuracy 4. Forecast Methodology & Products 5. Sector Reforecast Schedule 2026/2027 CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Car Market Overview SMR August 2026

Welcome to our latest overview of Service Maintenance and Repair (SMR) Budgets, previously known as the ‘gold book SMR editorial’. This is aimed at our Fleet sector customers, who may use the Budgets when setting their lease rates. Any customer suggestions for improvement would be appreciated: please e-mail [email protected] Following our acquisition of Derwent Management Services in 2014, cap-hpi Ludlow (Derwent) data has been used to populate our SMR budget forecast product since October 2014, but there have been no technical changes to any of our data files or services. The new budgets are based on our market leading Burn Rate data and incorporate the latest probability distributions for all elements, based on real world costs. In our opinion, it reflects a highly realistic representation of the likely future SMR expenditure. For any further detailed questions, please e-mail [email protected] and we will respond as a matter of CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Car Market Overview New Cars August 26

Welcome to the latest version of our overview. Our aim is to bring you the best content and layout, making it easy to identify new and revised information. As always, any customer feedback would be appreciated: e-mail [email protected] The content is structured as follows: 1. Forecast Changes 2. Market Conditions 3. Historic Forecast Accuracy 4. Forecast Methodology & Products 5. Sector Reforecast Schedule 2026/2027 CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Car Market Overview August 26

This update reviews the latest position of the UK new and used car markets, combining new car registration data through June 2026 with an overview of current conditions in the used vehicle sector. All observations and commentary reflect the market outlook as of 27th July 2026. New car sales June delivered another positive month for the new car market, with registrations increasing by 11.4% year-on-year to 213,166 units. The latest figures published by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) make it the strongest June performance since 2019 and continues the positive momentum seen throughout much of the first half of 2026. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Car Market Overview Used Car July 26

Welcome to the latest version of our overview. Our aim is to bring you the best content and layout, making it easy to identify new and revised information. As always, any customer feedback would be appreciated: e-mail [email protected] Please direct any forecast queries to the following mailbox: e-mail: [email protected] The content is structured as follows: 1. Forecast Changes 2. Market Conditions 3. Historic Forecast Accuracy 4. Forecast Methodology & Products 5. Sector Reforecast Schedule 2026/27 CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Commercial Overview July 2026

Month on month, new LCV registrations in May increased by 8.8% (+1,904 units), according to the latest data from the SMMT. This represents an increase of 824 units when compared to May 2025. However, the year to date position remains slightly behind last year at 127,044 registrations, 831 fewer than during the same period in 2025. This shortfall stems from weaker performance earlier this year, with January and March registrations lagging behind last year by 2,872 units. With stronger registration volumes in April and May, reducing the year on year deficit to just under 1000 units, the new LCV market is in good shape. However, as we head towards the main July-August holiday period, as the chart above shows, we normally see a decline in new registrations in the run up to the September plate. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview New Coms July 26

This is the cap guide to future residual values for light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds and percentage of list price for periods of twelve to sixty months with mileage calculations up to 200,000. Monthly Wrap-Up After an extremely busy month of June, July is noticeably calmer. With no new entrants into the market, only additions to existing line-ups, OEMS have taken the opportunity to expand their offerings. Notably we’ve seen additions to the D-max range to include the commercial conversions in the new powertrain, specification revisions to the Toyota Proace line up and the option of the Plug-In Hybrid powertrain for the Volkswagen Transporter. It is clear to see that the recent legislative changes, and the fast-approaching changes, are a driving force behind the changes in manufacturer’s portfolios. As the need to ‘bridge the gap’ between full electric and combustion options, the introduction of the plug-in hybrid offering brings another option to the table, in what is already an incredibly small sector. A relatively small reforecasting month has allowed for some further analysis of other sectors that aren’t yet due to their spotlight. A mixed bag across the Large Van sector, suggesting the trend is very much manufacturer led rather than sector driven. Although the majority of the movements we’ve seen this month are relatively small, we have seen some larger movements due to continued trends that have been visible over the past few months. This month specifically Land Rover Defender and the Toyota Corolla van have attracted the biggest movements due to continuing trends in the used market, as well as anecdotal evidence from within the industry. CLICK HERE to read the full article.