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Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview Used Coms March 26
This is the cap guide to future residual values for used light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds for periods from twelve months to four years. Vehicle Condition Parameters All prices in Used LCV Future Residual Values relate to disposal values for models in cap Average Condition – complying with most of the following requirements: • In a reasonable condition given its age and mileage. • Requires some work other than routine cleaning and servicing to bring it up to retail standard. • Mechanically sound. • Current MOT test certificate or needing only routine wear and tear item replacements in order to obtain one. • May require some repainting but not major body repair. • Vans and pick-ups to be fitted with a full substantial lining from new. • Interior dirty and untidy, but not damaged. • Capable of being brought up to ‘Clean Condition’ with minimal work. • Including all relevant documentation, especially V5. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview New Coms March 26
This is the cap guide to future residual values for light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds and percentage of list price for periods of twelve to sixty months with mileage calculations up to 200,000. Monthly Wrap-Up This month has seen a few new introductions following new releases to the market, including a returning player in the Lifestyle SUV sector. It comes as no surprise that we are seeing further additions to OEM’s BEV offerings every month. A trend we are anticipating continuing and increasing in volume, the drive towards BEC LCVs is ever-present as we draw nearer to the ZEV Mandate deadline. The push to make BEV alternatives more appealing to customers continues, with OEMs mirroring the specifications. Notably this month, we’ve seen the introduction of the Volkswagen Transporter Commerce Pro S in both ICE and BEV powertrains, as well as the Ford Explorer van boosting the offerings further for the LCV van sector. We have also seen the return of the Mitsubishi L200 into the Lifestyle SUV market. Despite the taxation changes affecting this sector, coupled with further additions from the Ford Ranger, new offerings within this landscape are seemingly not slowing down. This month was a smaller month for reforecasting, focusing on the Workhorse and Lifestyle SUV sectors. With a visible recent decrease in registrations across this sector, it is too early to determine what effect this will have on the future values. With markets relatively stable and an uptick at the start of the year, coupled with the additions we are seeing coming through, we are certainly seeing more stability in this landscape. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Car Market Overview Used Car March 26
Welcome to the latest version of our overview. Our aim is to bring you the best content and layout, making it easy to identify new and revised information. As always, any customer feedback would be appreciated: [email protected] Please direct any forecast queries to the following mailbox: e-mail: [email protected] The content is structured as follows: 1. Forecast Changes 2. Market Conditions 3. Historic Forecast Accuracy 4. Forecast Methodology & Products 5. Sector Reforecast Schedule 2026/27 CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Car Market Overview SMR March 2026
Welcome to our latest overview of Service Maintenance and Repair (SMR) Budgets, previously known as the ‘gold book SMR editorial’. This is aimed at our Fleet sector customers, who may use the Budgets when setting their lease rates. Any customer suggestions for improvement would be appreciated: please e-mail [email protected] Following our acquisition of Derwent Management Services in 2014, cap-hpi Ludlow (Derwent) data has been used to populate our SMR budget forecast product since October 2014, but there have been no technical changes to any of our data files or services. As we expected, the new data represented a considerable improvement in terms of vehicle coverage compared to our previous external supplier, with more than 4,200 additional cars and LCVs being valued at implementation. Overall, Car coverage is 97.9% with many of the vehicles valued in gold book for the first time also included in the SMR data. The new budgets are based on our market leading Burn Rate data and incorporate the latest probability distributions for all elements, based on real world costs. In our opinion, it reflects a much more realistic representation of the likely future SMR expenditure than we were able to display in the past. For any further detailed questions, please e-mail [email protected] and we will respond as a matter of urgency. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Future Car Market Overview New Cars March 26
Welcome to the latest version of our overview. Our aim is to bring you the best content and layout, making it easy to identify new and revised information. As always, any customer feedback would be appreciated: e-mail [email protected] Please direct any forecast queries to the following mailbox: e-mail: [email protected] The content is structured as follows: 1. Forecast Changes 2. Market Conditions 3. Historic Forecast Accuracy 4. Forecast Methodology & Products 5. Sector Reforecast Schedule 2026/27 CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Commercial Overview March 2026
At 17,562, January 2026 new LCV registrations were down by 1,488 (-7.8%) compared to 2025. They have not been this low since 2008, when the world was hit by the worst global recession since the 1930s. You may recall that the recession was triggered in 2007 by the collapse of Lehman Brothers in the US which led to the freezing of global credit markets. This hit new LCV sales because buyers were unable to obtain the finance needed to purchase them. The current slump in new LCV registrations is largely the result of ongoing economic uncertainty, which continues to affect business confidence. Many fleet operators remain cautious, delaying investment in new vehicles unless it’s absolutely necessary. The latest outlook for 2026 forecasts 321,000 new LCV registrations, an increase of 1.9% compared with 2025. However, as we saw throughout 2025, forecasts are frequently revised as market conditions change. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Car Market Overview March 26
This monthly overview provides an update on the latest developments in the UK new and used car markets. It includes new car registration figures up to the end of January 2025, along with current insights into used car activity. All information is accurate as of 24th February 2025. New car sales January saw a positive start to the year for the UK’s new car sector, with registrations rising by 3.4% over the same month in 2025, to a total of 144,127 vehicles. According to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), this marks the strongest opening month for the market since before the pandemic in 2020. CLICK HERE to read the full article.
Changing times: TCO Complexity needs clear data
Small miscalculations in total cost of ownership (TCO) can add up quickly. For fleet managers, even small changes in depreciation, servicing or fuel costs can become thousands of pounds of unplanned expenditure, quickly. When costs are rising costs and there is increasing economic uncertainty, actively managing TCO is essential to protecting margins. Total cost of ownership (TCO) is much more than just fuel and servicing. Increasing fleet complexity needs up-to-date data. Reliable fleet analysis is essential to manage a fleet’s financial position. Understanding the whole TCO challenge helps fleet managers maintain cost control, but to do this the right data partner is essential Total Cost of Ownership is changing TCO is the overall cost of a vehicle from purchase to sale, it includes the purchase price, depreciation, fuel, servicing and repairs. But that’s not all. Depreciation fluctuations, growing servicing costs caused by spare parts inflation, increasing labour rates, higher energy costs and increasing national insurance contributions are all pushing TCO upwards. For fleet managers relying on historic averages or static assumptions it is much harder to spot and mitigate risks early, before costs escalate. Downtime disruptions Vehicle downtime has to be factored into the TCO calculation, proactive planning is essential. As the UK’s car parc ages, garages are finding themselves busier than ever, making downtime planning essential. Understanding the risk means fleets can intervene sooner, so ‘off the road’ time is minimised before downtime costs accelerate. Every hour a vehicle is not doing its job it impacts a business. Preventative maintenance models Forecasting models for predictive maintenance provide data on vehicle repair patterns and smart preventative maintenance. Real time data that provides valuable insights to decide the best time to service, repair or dispose of a vehicle supports timely decision making. By understanding when a vehicle will cost more, and not just the value from start to finish, fleet managers can adjust their fleet profile at key times, saving money through smart predictive models. Politics plays a part The economic landscape is a shifting variable in TCO. While the paid price of a vehicle cannot change after ownership, fuel and servicing costs can change dramatically. In September 2026, the UK government is planning to scrap the 5p per litre reduction in fuel duty that was introduced in 2022. This will be managed in stages, with the final increase coming in March 2027. For a vehicle with an 80-litre fuel tank, this would add £4 per full refuel. Filling up once a week, £624 would be added to TCO over three years in fuel costs alone. Multiply that by the fleet size and hundreds of pounds is quickly tens of thousands of pounds. And that does not take into account the volatility of the oil markets due to geopolitical issues. Political decisions have a deeper effect on TCO than ever before, causing volatile shifts in cost patterns. Reliable data the key to TCO planning Rising maintenance and repair costs, increasing fuel and road charges, political intervention and volatile depreciation values all make TCO harder to manage. Smart data that reflects real world conditions without static assumptions mitigates uncertainties, aiding timely vehicle management. Timing is everything when it comes to TCO, so better data means smarter more profitable decisions. For leading fleets this is where cap hpi Total Cost of Ownership valuations change the landscape. Our datasets provide an integrated view of cost, performance and future value, helping fleet managers make smarter choices in vehicle purchase, ownership, and disposal planning. Our rich data reduces the financial burden fleets face and is available to buy online. Reliable, data-led TCO insights are a critical tool for controlling fleet costs. Make the smart choice.
Changing conditions: Financial impact of outdated forecast models
Residual values shift quickly, sometimes by thousands of pounds over a typical contract. For fleet and leasing companies, the ability to manage that change is the difference between a profit and a loss on every vehicle. New technologies, regulations and user requirements have made traditional forecasting patterns unreliable, making de-fleeting planning difficult. Decisions based on outdated assumptions now carry a far greater financial risk. The solution is daily data. Volatility causes pricing headaches Market volatility makes traditional value forecasting difficult, with the slightest market, economic or geopolitical event likely to trigger a change in demand, which could add, or wipe, significant value from a car. Electric vehicle upgrades leaves old models exposed EV technology moves fast, more than any other powertrain category and that directly impacts on residual values. New battery technologies, faster charging capabilities and increasing demand all affect values. Cars that fall behind the latest technology are increasingly exposed to dramatic residual changes. Early-generation EVs with smaller batteries and slower charging capability are now competing against newer models offering significantly longer range and shorter charging times, often at increasingly competitive list prices. This has created the widening value gap between old and new technology. Even announcements of breakthrough battery range can impact buyer attitudes, regardless if this technology is a year or two away. Reliable forecast tools are essential Depreciation is the single largest cost when it comes to running a fleet. Buying vehicles is expensive, but some of this outlay can be recouped when selling those vehicles on. Therefore, a trusted residual value forecast tool is essential. They allow fleet buyers to compare the total cost of ownership of different models and decide on the best value options for their business. Insights of when a vehicle is set to lose most of its value can help determine the replacement cycle, keeping models long enough to be useful, but not too long so they end up costing more. How forecasting adapts to suit fleet buyers Static forecasts no longer work. Fleet buyers need up-to-date information, with data based on real-world events, in real time to help them make informed decisions on purchase and de-fleeting opportunities. Adaptive, data-rich forecasts provide much more information, considering the factors that are outside the market’s control. Expertise in creating these forecasts also needs to adapt, with analysts gathering more detailed data, more frequently so projections are well informed. Providing buyers with the forecasts they need In a market where values can move quickly and unpredictably, relying on static forecasts is no longer enough. Fleet and leasing companies need forward-looking data that reflects live market conditions, technology shifts and buyer sentiment, not just historic trends. This is where adaptive forecasting becomes essential. cap hpi’s Future Vehicle Value Checker provides 60-month future value forecasts for new and used vehicles up to five years old, adjusted daily to reflect live market values. All forecasts give detailed data on how much a vehicle will depreciate in a coming year, together with value patterns, helping fleet and leasing companies determine the best options for their business.
Future Light Commercial Vehicle Overview – New Commercials February 2026
This is the cap guide to future residual values for light commercial vehicles. Individual forecasts are provided in pounds and percentage of list price for periods of twelve to sixty months with mileage calculations up to 200,000. Vehicle Condition Parameters All prices in LCV Future Residual Values relate to disposal values for models in cap Average Condition – complying with most of the following requirements: • In a reasonable condition given its age and mileage. • Requires some work other than routine cleaning and servicing to bring it up to retail standard. • Mechanically sound. • Current MOT test certificate or needs only routine wear and tear item replacements to obtain one. • May require some repainting but not major body repair. • Vans and pick-ups to be fitted with a full substantial lining from new. • Interior dirty and untidy, but not damaged. • Capable of being brought up to ‘Clean Condition’ with minimal work. • Including all relevant documentation, especially V5. CLICK HERE to read the full article.