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Future Car Market Overview – SMR November 2019
Welcome to our re-named overview, previously known as the ‘gold book SMR editorial’.
The content and layout has not changed, but any customer suggestions for improvement would be appreciated: e-mail andrew.mee@cap-hpi.com
Following our acquisition of Derwent Management Services in 2014, cap hpi Ludlow (Derwent) data has been used to populate our SMR budget forecast product since October 2014, but there have been no technical changes to any of our data files or services.
As we expected, the new data represented a considerable improvement in terms of vehicle coverage compared to our previous external supplier, with more than 4,200 additional cars and LCVs being valued at implementation. Overall Car coverage is 99.7%, with many of the vehicles valued in gold book for the first time also included in the SMR data.
The new budgets are based on our market leading Burn Rate data and incorporate the latest probability distributions for all elements, based on real world costs. In our opinion, it reflects a much more realistic representation of the likely future SMR expenditure than we were able to display in the past.
For any further detailed questions, please e-mail smr@cap-hpi.com and we will respond as a matter of urgency.
New Ranges
Vehicles from the following ranges have been included in SMR product for the first time in this month’s publication of SMR budget forecasts:
RANGE |
ASTON MARTIN DBS CONVERTIBLE 2019 |
DS DS 3 ELECTRIC CROSSBACK HATCHBACK 2019 |
FORD KUGA DIESEL ESTATE 2019 |
FORD KUGA ESTATE 2019 |
FORD PUMA HATCHBACK 2019 |
FORD PUMA HATCHBACK SPECIAL EDITIONS 2019 |
LAND ROVER DEFENDER DIESEL ESTATE 2019 |
LAND ROVER DEFENDER ESTATE 2019 |
LAND ROVER DEFENDER ESTATE SPECIAL EDITIONS 2019 |
MAZDA CX-30 HATCHBACK 2020 |
MERCEDES-BENZ GLC COUPE 2019 |
MERCEDES-BENZ GLC ESTATE 2019 |
MINI ELECTRIC HATCHBACK 2020 |
PEUGEOT E-208 ELECTRIC HATCHBACK 2019 |
PORSCHE TAYCAN SALOON 2019 |
SEAT MII ELECTRIC HATCHBACK 2019 |
SKODA KAMIQ DIESEL HATCHBACK 2019 |
SKODA KAMIQ HATCHBACK 2019 |
SSANGYONG KORANDO ESTATE 2019 |
TOYOTA C-HR HATCHBACK SPECIAL EDITION 2019 |
VOLKSWAGEN CALIFORNIA DIESEL ESTATE 2020 |
VOLKSWAGEN CARAVELLE DIESEL ESTATE 2020 |
Budget Changes
The overall average budget change at 36/60 is -£16.53
The following models see the largest changes (more than +/- 30%):
CAPID | Description | Change | Reason |
84549 | BMW X3 Diesel Estate xDrive 326 M40d 5dr Step Auto 20 | -37.29% | Tyre size correction |
90942 | BMW X3 Diesel Estate xDrive20d 190 M Sport 5dr Step Auto [Tech/Plus Pack] 20 | -30.06% | Tyre size correction |
90940 | BMW X3 Diesel Estate xDrive20d 190 M Sport 5dr Step Auto [Plus Pack] 20 | -30.06% | Tyre size correction |
90939 | BMW X3 Estate xDrive20i 184 M Sport 5dr Step Auto [Tech/Plus Pack] 20 | -33.42% | Tyre size correction |
90937 | BMW X3 Estate xDrive20i 184 M Sport 5dr Step Auto [Plus Pack] 20 | -33.42% | Tyre size correction |
90854 | BMW Z4 Roadster sDrive 30i 258 M Sport 2dr Auto [Plus Pack] 19.5 | 33.00% | Tyre size correction |
90856 | BMW Z4 Roadster sDrive 30i 258 M Sport 2dr Auto [Tech/Plus Pack] 19.5 | 33.00% | Tyre size correction |
89995 | MINI Clubman Estate 2.0 306 John Cooper Works ALL4 6dr Auto [Nav+ Pack] 19.5 | 46.78% | Wear rate updates |
89224 | MINI Clubman Estate 2.0 306 John Cooper Works ALL4 6dr Auto 19.5 | 46.78% | Wear rate updates |
89952 | MINI Countryman Hatchback 2.0 [306] John Cooper Works ALL4 5dr Auto 19.5 | 46.98% | Wear rate updates |
89994 | MINI Countryman Hatchback 2.0 [306] John Cooper Works ALL4 5dr Auto [Nav+] 19.5 | 46.98% | Wear rate updates |
91076 | Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Acenta 5dr 19 | 35.31% | Parts and price updates |
91093 | Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 N-Connecta 5dr 19 | 35.31% | Parts and price updates |
91099 | Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Premiere Edition 5dr 19 | 57.49% | Parts and price updates |
91095 | Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Tekna 5dr 19 | 38.50% | Parts and price updates |
91097 | Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Tekna+ 5dr 19 | 38.50% | Parts and price updates |
91096 | Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Tekna 5dr DCT 19 | 38.50% | Parts and price updates |
91094 | Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 N-Connecta 5dr DCT 19 | 35.31% | Parts and price updates |
91100 | Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Premiere Edition 5dr DCT 19 | 57.49% | Parts and price updates |
91098 | Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Tekna+ 5dr DCT 19 | 38.50% | Parts and price updates |
91092 | Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Acenta 5dr DCT 19 | 35.31% | Parts and price updates |
88060 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Exterior+ Pack] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
87626 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Bose] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
88125 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
87514 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Vision Pack] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
88058 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Bose] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
88062 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Bose/Exterior+ Pack] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
87629 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Ext+ Pk] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
87632 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Bose/Ext+ Pk] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
87538 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 N-Sport 5dr 19 | 41.35% | Parts and price updates |
87516 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 DIG-T 117 Acenta 5dr [Vision Pack] 18 | 30.68% | Parts and price updates |
87540 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 DIG-T 117 N-Sport 5dr 18 | 30.68% | Parts and price updates |
87631 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 DIG-T 117 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Ext+ Pk] 18 | 30.68% | Parts and price updates |
87634 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 DIG-T 117 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Bose/Ext+ Pk] 18 | 30.68% | Parts and price updates |
87628 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 DIG-T 117 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Bose] 18 | 30.68% | Parts and price updates |
87627 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Vision/Bose] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
87515 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Vision Pack] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
87630 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Vision/Ext+ Pk] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
87633 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Vision/Ext+ Bose] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
88126 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
88059 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Bose] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
88061 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Exterior+ Pack] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
88063 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Bose/Exter+ Pk] 19 | 31.64% | Parts and price updates |
87539 | Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 N-Sport 5dr Xtronic 19 | 41.35% | Parts and price updates |
VAT
VAT is excluded from all calculations.
Service Intervals
All calculations are based upon the service intervals recommended by the manufacturer.
The following factors must be taken into account when setting maintenance budgets
All values are standard average discounted rate by Manufacturer.
Data includes 2nd & 3rd year warranty only covered exclusively by the Manufacturer.
No manufacturer goodwill payments are included in the data.
All costs are original parts price (manufacturers/franchise dealers).
Vehicle usage is set at medium and assumes on road use only.
Replacement tyres are assumed to be premium brand.
Mortality rates are average for standard use.
Where data is unavailable then certain assumptive aspects of data will be used based on available information for existing models sharing common features.
In cases where no data is available and there are no common equivalents then either an assumptive figure based on the best available information will be used or alternatively no data will be issued.
The following elements are excluded from cap hpi gold book SMR
Additional warranty costs
Relief vehicles
Accident management costs
Road fund license
Insurance costs
Costs of finance
Fuel
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