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Future Car Market Overview – SMR October 2019
Welcome to our re-named overview, previously known as the ‘gold book SMR editorial’.
The content and layout has not changed, but any customer suggestions for improvement would be appreciated: e-mail andrew.mee@cap-hpi.com
Following our acquisition of Derwent Management Services in 2014, cap hpi Ludlow (Derwent) data has been used to populate our SMR budget forecast product since October 2014, but there have been no technical changes to any of our data files or services.
As we expected, the new data represented a considerable improvement in terms of vehicle coverage compared to our previous external supplier, with more than 4,200 additional cars and LCVs being valued at implementation. Overall Car coverage is 96.2%, with many of the vehicles valued in gold book for the first time also included in the SMR data.
The new budgets are based on our market leading Burn Rate data and incorporate the latest probability distributions for all elements, based on real world costs. In our opinion, it reflects a much more realistic representation of the likely future SMR expenditure than we were able to display in the past.
For any further detailed questions, please e-mail smr@cap-hpi.com and we will respond as a matter of urgency.
New Ranges
Vehicles from the following ranges have been included in SMR product for the first time in this month’s publication of SMR budget forecasts:
Range |
AUDI Q3 2019 |
AUDI Q7 2019 |
BMW 3 SERIES 2019 |
BMW Z4 2019 |
FIAT TIPO 2019 |
FORD MUSTANG 2019 |
MAZDA 2 2019 |
MAZDA 3 2019 |
MERCEDES-BENZ CLA CLASS 2019 |
MG MOTOR UK ZS 2019 |
NISSAN JUKE 2019 |
RENAULT ZOE 2019 |
SSANGYONG KORANDO 2019 |
TOYOTA C-HR 2019 |
Budget Changes
The overall average budget change at 36/60 is -£0.09
The following models see the largest changes (more than +/- 15%):
CAPID | Description | Approximate Change | Reason |
86203 | Alfa Romeo Giulia Diesel Saloon 2.2 JTDM-2 190 Speciale 4dr Auto 19 | -16% | Tyre wear rate updates |
88980 | Fiat Tipo Hatchback 1.4 95 S Design 5dr 19 | 16% | Tyre size change |
88977 | Fiat Tipo Hatchback 1.4 95 Sport 5dr 19 | 16% | Tyre size change |
84997 | SEAT Ateca Estate 1.5 TSI EVO 150 FR Sport [EZ] 5dr 19 | 19% | Wear rate updates |
84998 | SEAT Ateca Estate 1.5 TSI EVO 150 FR Sport [EZ] 5dr DSG 19 | 19% | Wear rate updates |
85004 | SEAT Ateca Estate 1.5 TSI EVO 150 Xcellence Lux [EZ] 5dr DSG 19 | 19% | Wear rate updates |
85003 | SEAT Ateca Estate 1.5 TSI EVO 150 Xcellence Lux [EZ] 5dr 19 | 19% | Wear rate updates |
85016 | SEAT Ateca Diesel Estate 1.6 TDI 115 Xcellence Lux [EZ] 5dr 19 | 19% | Wear rate updates |
85017 | SEAT Ateca Diesel Estate 1.6 TDI 115 Xcellence Lux [EZ] 5dr DSG 19 | 19% | Wear rate updates |
85036 | SEAT Ateca Diesel Estate 2.0 TDI 150 Xcellence Lux [EZ] 5dr 19 | 19% | Wear rate updates |
85028 | SEAT Ateca Diesel Estate 2.0 TDI 150 FR Sport [EZ] 5dr 19 | 19% | Wear rate updates |
85037 | SEAT Ateca Diesel Estate 2.0 TDI 150 Xcellence Lux [EZ] 5dr DSG 19 | 18% | Wear rate updates |
85029 | SEAT Ateca Diesel Estate 2.0 TDI 150 FR Sport [EZ] 5dr DSG 19 | 18% | Wear rate updates |
90309 | Skoda Superb Diesel Estate 2.0 TDI CR 150 SE 5dr 20 | -15% | Wear rate updates |
90291 | Skoda Superb Diesel Hatchback 2.0 TDI CR 150 SE 5dr 20 | -15% | Wear rate updates |
90358 | Skoda Superb Diesel Hatchback 2.0 TDI CR 150 SE L 5dr 20 | -16% | Wear rate updates |
90281 | Skoda Superb Diesel Hatchback 2.0 TDI CR 150 SE Technology 5dr 20 | -15% | Wear rate updates |
90371 | Skoda Superb Diesel Estate 2.0 TDI CR 150 SE L 5dr 20 | -16% | Wear rate updates |
90286 | Skoda Superb Diesel Estate 2.0 TDI CR 150 SE Technology 5dr 20 | -15% | Wear rate updates |
89233 | Tesla Model 3 Saloon 351 Long Range AWD 4dr Auto 19 | -16% | Brake and tyrewear |
89234 | Tesla Model 3 Saloon 351 Long Range AWD 4dr Auto [Auto Pilot] 19 | -16% | Brake and tyrewear |
VAT
VAT is excluded from all calculations.
Service Intervals
All calculations are based upon the service intervals recommended by the manufacturer.
The following factors must be taken into account when setting maintenance budgets
All values are standard average discounted rate by Manufacturer.
Data includes 2nd & 3rd year warranty only covered exclusively by the Manufacturer.
No manufacturer goodwill payments are included in the data.
All costs are original parts price (manufacturers/franchise dealers).
Vehicle usage is set at medium and assumes on road use only.
Replacement tyres are assumed to be premium brand.
Mortality rates are average for standard use.
Where data is unavailable then certain assumptive aspects of data will be used based on available information for existing models sharing common features.
In cases where no data is available and there are no common equivalents then either an assumptive figure based on the best available information will be used or alternatively no data will be issued.
The following elements are excluded from cap hpi gold book SMR
Additional warranty costs
Relief vehicles
Accident management costs
Road fund license
Insurance costs
Costs of finance
Fuel
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